Serie A: Roma vs Inter Milan Odds & Betting Picks
Serie A returns after the international break with a thrilling clash between AS Roma and Inter Milan. Ranked second and fourth on the table, both teams are in strong form. The question is, who’ll come out on top?
We analyzed recent performances, head-to-head stats, and other key metrics for our predictions. The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, giving Roma home advantage. Still, sportsbooks favor Inter to get all three points, with a draw rated more likely than a Roma win. Keep reading to find out what our betting picks say.
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Roma and Inter’s recent results and performances
Both Roma and Inter have been consistent lately, winning four of their last five games. Let’s take a closer look at each side’s recent form:
As Roma
Roma claimed a 2–1 away win against Fiorentina in their last league match. Before that, they picked up victories over Verona and Lazio, helping them climb to second place.
From recent results, Roma’s strength lies in its defense. Gasperini’s men haven’t been prolific in front of goal, having found the net just seven times in six games. However, they’ve managed to concede only twice, keeping four clean sheets.
Tied on 15 points with the table leaders Napoli, Roma will aim to maintain their spot by beating Inter on Saturday. It’s unlikely that they take the number one spot since Napoli will be playing an easier opponent in Torino.
Inter Milan
Inter’s most recent match was a friendly against Atletico Madrid, which ended on penalties. Before that, I Nerazzurri won three straight Serie A games.
After six league matches this season, Inter has found the net 17 times and conceded just eight. That’s an average of 2.8 goals per game, which shows their strikers have been firing. Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram both feature among the league’s top scorers with three goals each.
Going into Saturday’s fixture, Inter sits fourth on the table. With a higher goal difference than Roma, a win could move Chivu’s men to second or third, depending on Milan’s result.
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Head-to-head results
Looking at past Roma and Inter meetings gives useful insights when staking on soccer betting sites. Here’s a quick rundown from our research:
- AS Roma wins: 22
- Draws: 25
- Inter Milan wins: 36
Clearly, I Nerazzurri dominate historically with 14 more wins than I Lupi. In their previous five Serie A games, Inter won four and Roma came out on top just once.
However, Roma’s win is the most recent, as it came in April this year. While away at the San Siro stadium, the team managed a narrow 0-1 victory. Before then, Inter also snatched a 0-1 away win at the Stadio Olimpico in October 2024.
Goal-wise, Inter has found the net eight times in their last five meetings against Roma. In contrast, Roma managed only three goals. This stat shows a clear gap between the sides’ attacking strength.
Roma vs Inter betting picks and odds
Most sportsbooks expect Inter to take all three points when they visit Rome on Saturday. Here are the average odds we came across:
- AS Roma win: 3.20
- Draw: 3.25
- Inter Milan win: 2.40
The odds suggest a draw is more likely than a Roma win. Considering these lines, recent form, and head-to-head results, here are our top picks for the match:
- Inter to win or draw (Double chance): Inter has the stronger attack and historical edge, though Roma’s home advantage makes a draw possible.
- Under 3.5: Only one of the past five Roma vs Inter fixtures saw more than three goals. With Roma’s current tight defense, Inter may find it challenging to score multiple goals.
- Martinez or Thuram to score: Both players are at the forefront of Inter’s attack. If the away team sees a goal, it’ll come from one of them.
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Bet on Roma vs Inter Milan with our top tips
Everything points toward an away win when Roma vs Inter kicks off on Saturday. I Nerazzurri are in top attacking form and have been the stronger side in recent clashes, so they’re the favorites. You can follow our top picks, but remember that anything can happen on the pitch. Always bet responsibly.
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