Liverpool vs Everton Betting Tips & Predictions
The first Merseyside derby of the season kicks off later this week as the defending champions Liverpool look to stay unbeaten when they host their bitter rivals Everton in what could be a tightly-contested showdown.
Liverpool heads into this matchup fresh off a narrow 1-0 win against Burnley, thanks to a 95th-minute penalty by Mohamed Salah, while Everton settled for a scoreless draw against Aston Villa. In this article, I will look at the betting odds for this matchup and the path to victory for both teams.
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Liverpool vs Everton Betting Odds
Latest betting lines have Liverpool as the moderate -218 favorite in this matchup and for a good reason. The Reds have dominated the Toffees in three of their past five encounters. If that’s not good enough, Liverpool has also beaten Everton in their last four matchups at Anfield.
| Outcome | Betting Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | -218 |
| Draw | +375 |
| Everton to win | +570 |
Why will Liverpool win?
Winning against Everton at Anfield has seemingly been a routine for Liverpool in recent years. As I’ve mentioned above, the Reds have beaten the Toffees in their past four matchups at home, but what I haven’t told you is that they did that in impressive fashion.
For context, Everton hasn’t scored a goal in Anfield across all competitions since 2021. Taking that all into account, backing Liverpool to win to nil at +155 at the best soccer betting sites might be a good idea, especially when you consider their attacking firepower and their ability to dominate possessions this season.
Although they only managed to score one goal versus Burnley, watching Liverpool patiently probe and squeeze tiny openings just showed me how clinical they are on the attacking end of the floor. I like to think that there’s a good chance that Liverpool’s ability to control possession and control tempo can frustrate Everton and make them crack under pressure.
Of course, their finishing leaves a lot to be desired at times, but with Salah, Florian Wirtz, and Cody Gakpo controlling the attack, Liverpool should have enough quality to create solid chances in the final third.
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Why will Everton win?
There is no denying the fact that Liverpool is much more talented than Everton on both ends of the floor. However, if the Toffees can stand down on defense like Burnley did for 94 minutes, then I might consider using the best free bets I can get on them to win.
One thing I’ve noticed about Everton is that they tend to step up their game when facing Liverpool, regardless of their current circumstances. Last season, the Toffees managed to force a 2-2 draw versus league leaders Liverpool despite being just a few points away from the drop zone.
If that was any indication, Everton should do better versus the Reds here, especially since they have won two of their first four Premier League matches this season. For the Toffees to win here, they will need new acquisition Jack Grealish to continue producing moments of magic in the final third. While he has not found the back of the net yet this season, the 30-year-old Grealish has been responsible for four of the five Everton goals this season.
Besides Grealish, the Toffees will also be banking on crafty French attacking midfielder Iliman Ndiaye to find the back of the net after being held scoreless versus Aston Villa. If Everton can remain solid on defense and force Liverpool to work hard for every chance, they might just create the openings they need to potentially snatch a good result here.
Conclusion – Liverpool vs Everton Betting Predictions
As much as I like to convince myself that Everton can pull off a shocker, all signs still point to a comfortable Liverpool victory. While Grealish’s ability to control the midfield and create chances will be key for the Toffees, I just think the Reds will be too much to handle in Anfield.
With a front three of Gakpo, Salah, and Wirtz and possibly the Premier League debut of prized striker Alexander Isak, Liverpool has more than enough firepower to break down Everton’s defense. Of course, the -218 does not offer much value, which is why I might consider the +155 on Liverpool to win to nil here.
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