ATP Shanghai Masters Betting Tips & Odds 2025
If we were to rank the most unpredictable ATP Tour Masters 1000 tournaments, then the Shanghai Masters should be right up there. While the latest Shanghai Masters betting odds can give you an idea of the favorites, they rarely tell the whole story.
This is exactly what we’ve seen in this edition of the Shanghai Masters. Before the tournament, reigning champ Jannik Sinner came in as the massive favorite to win it all, but a walkover loss to Tallon Griekspoor opened the door for other contenders to make some noise. In this article, we’ll look at the favorites and the dark horse contenders for the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
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Top favorites for the ATP Shanghai Masters
With Sinner out, four-time champ Novak Djokovic is now the odds-on favorite to win the ATP Shanghai Masters, according to the best tennis betting sites. If you are looking to join in the action, then here’s how the current odds look as of press time.
| Players | Odds |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 2.75 |
| Alex de Minaur | 5.50 |
| Holger Rune | 6.50 |
Novak Djokovic – 2.75
Had it not been for Djokovic’s age and injury concerns the past few months, the Serbian should be the favorite to win the Shanghai Masters even if Sinner was still on it. However, with Sinner out, Djokovic is now the clear favorite to win the ATP Shanghai Masters for plenty of reasons. Even in the twilight of his career, the 38-year-old Djokovic has the skill and experience to outlast younger opponents on the tour. While he’s no longer the same Djokovic that had everyone asking how to bet on tennis and get in on the action, his tactical intelligence and ability to raise his level in crucial moments make him a formidable contender in Shanghai.
Alex de Minaur – 5.50
Aussie netter Alex de Minaur is another strong contender that could shake things up in the Shanghai Masters. Known for his speed and relentless baseline game, de Minaur excels at turning defense into offense by using his exceptional footwork and court coverage to retrieve seemingly impossible shots. One thing I particularly love about the Aussie ace is how he can absorb pace and create openings for return winners. This plays to his advantage in Shanghai, where the slower hard courts can give him enough time to frustrate opponents and generate offense. My only concern for de Minaur here is that he sometimes struggles to convert points against heavy hitters, especially when his first strike returns are contained. Otherwise, the 5.50 price point on him to win should be worth considering.
Holger Rune – 6.50
After suffering heartbreaking exits in the US Open and the Japan Open, Danish ace Holger Rune looks poised to make a deep run in the Shanghai Masters. Rune has made it into the quarterfinals after beating French netter Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4, 6-7 (7-9), 6-3 in the Round of 16. What makes Rune a solid pick at 6.50 is that he can actually orchestrate from the baseline against aggressive opponents and force opponents to overcommit. Rune’s recent performances in the past two rounds of the Shanghai Open make me think that is slowly regaining his confidence and rhythm after a tough stretch, and that could be dangerous in the later stages of the tournament.
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Dark horse contenders for the ATP Shanghai Masters
As we’ve mentioned above, the ATP Shanghai Masters is anything but predictable. So, if you are looking to take advantage of your free bet offers, then here are a couple of underdog plays that might be worth a shot.
Lorenzo Musetti – 13.00
This is an absolutely risky pick considering that Musetti’s next assignment comes against another top contender and World No. 13 Felix Auger-Aliassime. However, Musetti has shown flashes of brilliance this season, especially with his versatile shot-making and crafty topspin, which can trouble even the more consistent baseline players. If he finds his rhythm early and can disrupt Auger-Aliassime’s pace, there’s a chance that he could make a deep run in this tournament and possibly win it all. Of course, that’s a long shot considering the caliber of competition left, but if he stays focused and converts his services consistently, Musetti could be a great underdog pick at these current odds.
Tallon Griekspoor – 23.00
I might raise some eyebrows here with this pick, but I am really liking Tallon Griekspoor to win the Shanghai Masters at 23.00. Similar to Musetti, the 29-year-old Griekspoor is a long shot to win the tournament. However, if he rides his current momentum and plays like he did against Sinner, then the 23.00 odds on him to win the 2025 Shanghai Masters is a tempting underdog bet. If you’ve been betting on tennis for quite a while, then you know as much as I do that Griekspoor’s penetrating groundstrokes and high first-serve percentage allow him to control rallies and play against top-tier opponents. One thing I am looking forward to seeing from Griekspoor here is how well he can maintain his service games and execute aggressive baseline patterns. Against Sinner, the Dutchman used effective angles and excellent net transitions to shorten points and force errors. If he can continue doing that, he has a very good chance of stringing together multiple upsets and advancing deep into the tournament.
Conclusion – Place your bets and don’t miss the action at the ATP Shanghai Masters
While Djokovic is now the odds-on favorite to win it all following Sinner’s exit, the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters remains highly competitive with players like Rune, de Minaur, Musetti, and Griekspoor capable of shaking up the draw. So, if you are looking for value bets other than the straight moneylines, click on any banners on this page to sign up and place your bets on the ongoing ATP Shanghai Masters action.
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